Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.592599 0.681257 0.778085 0.891611 1.020998 1.163798 1.333287
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.491505 0.617999 0.768218 0.959442 1.196073 1.478977 1.842586
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.409092 0.558575 0.750254 1.013252 1.363887 1.814368 2.436154
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.347705 0.512513 0.739390 1.072922 1.548976 2.201980 3.163422
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.288082 0.456264 0.703680 1.091553 1.681271 2.540494 3.882795
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.247584 0.419169 0.687584 1.134043 1.853301 2.960558 4.786051
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.206469 0.372416 0.647554 1.131471 1.954617 3.288668 5.601158
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.178425 0.341439 0.626739 1.155194 2.100352 3.706310 6.621049
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.148927 0.301711 0.583379 1.131631 2.160271 3.988388 7.453979
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.134088 0.286265 0.580515 1.179804 2.354275 4.528379 8.815405
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.123036 0.275983 0.585287 1.242587 2.584286 5.164049 10.440559
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.108376 0.255198 0.565453 1.252726 2.712350 5.624194 11.794720
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.094498 0.233662 0.540992 1.250668 2.818674 6.063454 13.185461
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.082897 0.214950 0.519313 1.250945 2.930260 6.529882 14.701441
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.073444 0.199400 0.501939 1.257862 3.057571 7.047408 16.400872
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.066702 0.189220 0.495290 1.288644 3.244018 7.719029 18.532683
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.058872 0.174495 0.474880 1.282465 3.342461 8.207560 20.320844
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.053818 0.166258 0.469344 1.312631 3.534006 8.936681 22.768888
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.047426 0.152793 0.447609 1.296782 3.607265 9.394922 24.632780
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.043174 0.144735 0.439093 1.315066 3.772107 10.099527 27.200016
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.037701 0.131654 0.413974 1.282626 3.795937 10.453035 28.928957
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.035484 0.128542 0.417370 1.332964 4.056461 11.453315 32.472789
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.033916 0.127260 0.426086 1.400746 4.377424 12.656778 36.717239